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MANIFOLD
Will the recorded US measles cases reach or exceed 3,500 cases in today's update?
5
Ṁ1kṀ202
in 8 hours
46%
chance

Background

The current number of cases is 3,231.

Question

Will the recorded US measles cases reach or exceed 3,500 cases in today's update?


Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if today's updated measles cases for 2026 reaches or exceeds 3,500. In the event of a delayed update, the market will resolve to NA if an update is not released by 8:00 PM EST 09-12-2026. The market will resolve according to the source below.

https://publichealth.jhu.edu/ivac/resources/us-measles-tracker

Market context
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