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MANIFOLD
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2027
4
Ṁ3.7kṀ589
2028
5,688 cases
expected
7%
Below 1,000
7%
1,000 - 1,999
7%
2,000 - 2,999
8%
3,000 - 3,999
12%
4,000 - 4,999
17%
5,000 - 5,999
10%
6,000 - 6,999
9%
7000 - 7,999
8%
8,000 - 8,999
8%
9,000 - 9,999
7%
10,000+

How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?

If the number of cases is within the interval above, as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES. Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO. The market will resolve at the end of January 2028 to allow for lag in reporting.

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