Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026
55
Ṁ2.2kṀ30kJan 31
99.3%
x ≥ 5000
99%
x ≥ 4500
72%
x ≥ 5500
40%
x ≥ 6000
26%
x ≥ 6500
20%
x ≥ 8000
4%
x ≥ 10000
3%
x ≥ 20000
1.3%
x ≥ 50000
1%
x ≥ 100000
Resolved
YESx ≥ 750
Resolved
YESx ≥ 1000
Resolved
YESx ≥ 1500
Resolved
YESx ≥ 2000
Resolved
YESx ≥ 2500
Resolved
YESx ≥ 3000
Resolved
YES x ≥ 3500
Resolved
YESx ≥ 4000
Resolved
YESx ≥ 500
Resolved
YESx ≥ 250
How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?
If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES. Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO. The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.
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@LietKynes The difference between 6,500 and 10, 000 is small but I added 8,000 to provide more resolution
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