Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028? | Manifold

Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?

25

1kṀ493

2028

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/london-at-risk-of-measles-outbreaks-with-modelling-estimating-tens-of-thousands-of-cases

the UK

London at risk of measles outbreaks with modelling estimating tens of thousands of cases

UKHSA modelling suggests that, unless MMR vaccination rates improve, London could see a measles outbreak with tens of thousands of cases.

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https://paulmainwood.substack.com/p/measles-where-are-cases-going

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