2
Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?
59
closes 2039
27%
chance

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RobertCousineau avatar
Robert Cousineau

How do you define "Major Battle"? Maybe tonnage involved in combat?

xyz avatar
Yoavis predicting NO at 27%

@RobertCousineau Number of deaths?

RobertCousineau avatar
Robert Cousineau

@xyz I'm not opposed, though I am always reluctant to rely on death counts as they are hard to get and often gamed. It's a lot easier to see if a warship is somewhere than if anyone on that warship died (and when).

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