I am living in Kazakhstan and have heard the belief expressed that Russia might try to take the northern parts of Kazakhstan (which contain large numbers of ethnic Russians). Resolved positively if Russia takes or attempts to take any part of what is now Kazakhstan or if a military conflict breaks out for any other reason.
Five years is a long time horizon... but still, it seems unlikely. Russia has its hands full with Ukraine; it's not going to be able to handle another offensive war. Once they lose (as seems extremely likely), they'll still be hard-pressed to even maintain their existing defensive forces, much less contemplate another offensive operation. More to the point, China is asserting its own interests in the region, and is likely to oppose any such Russian offensive, perhaps even to the point of committing its own forces.