British Columbia's next general election is set for 19 October 2024, though it may be called earlier.
The NDP won the previous election in 2020, obtaining 57 out of 87 seats with 48% of the vote and thus forming a majority government.
If no party obtains an outright majority, this market will resolve by which party leads either a minority or coalition government after post-election coalition talks.
Related:
1,000
3.00Currently neither BC NDP and BC Conservatives are projected to win an outright majority.
That would punt the resolution of this question off a bit since in that case: "If no party obtains an outright majority, this market will resolve by which party leads either a minority or coalition government after post-election coalition talks."
BC United and BC Conservative party have held discussions on merging (Vancouver Sun).
Polling puts their combined popularity ahead of the NDP.