Which party will win the Oct 19th British Columbia provincial election?
69%
BC NDP
29%
Conservative Party
0.9%
BC Green Party
0.9%
BC UNITED (Formerly BC Liberal Party)
0.2%
a surprise party 😮
0.2%
Independent
0.2%
Christian Heritage Party of B.C.

If a single affiliation wins at least half of the seats, this market resolves to that party.

If a single affiliation wins less than half of the seats but is able to form a government with the support of another party (as happened in the 2017 election), this market resolves only to the party which forms the government.

If a proper coalition government is formed with members of multiple parties being added to the cabinet, this market resolves evenly to each party included in the coalition.

If there is no affiliation that wins at least half of the seats but a minority government is able to avoid a vote of no confidence until the end of 2024, this market resolves evenly to each affiliation whose seats are required to avoid a vote of no confidence.

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