Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, following the 2025 Canadian federal election, the New Democratic Party (NDP) secures at least 12 seats in the House of Commons, thereby achieving official party status. If the NDP wins fewer than 12 seats, the market will resolve to "No." The official seat count will be determined based on the final results published by Elections Canada.

Background:

In the Canadian parliamentary system, a political party must win a minimum of 12 seats in the House of Commons to attain official party status. This status grants the party certain privileges, including funding for research and the right to participate more fully in parliamentary proceedings.