Will the NDP gain seats in the next federal election

13

170Ṁ2341

resolved Apr 29

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_of_Commons_of_Canada

Resolves yes if greater than 25*, no if less than 25, 50% if exactly 25.

*replace "25" with the number of seats held by the NDP going into the next election, if any defections happen between now and then.

Market context

Canadian Politics

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lol what insane copium i was on here

Arbitrage https://manifold.markets/cash/will-the-ndp-lose-seats-in-the-next?r=VHVtYmxlcw

predictedNO

338 currently has them staying exactly at 25, for what it’s worth. https://338canada.com/federal.htm

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