Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
41
1kṀ4146Oct 22
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Canada's parliament must have an election on or before 20 October 2025. The Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre currently poll above Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party, approaching 40% as of the time this question was written.
Will the Conservative Party win 40% of the vote, or more, in the next Canadian federal election?
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
What will be the outcome of Canada's 2025 federal election?
Liberal Party forms the next Canadian government
67% chance
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
14% chance
Outcome of next Canadian federal election
Will the next federal Canadian election go to the liberals?
67% chance
Will the Liberal Party of Canada lead in projected seats on April 1st?
98% chance
What will be the results of the 2025 Canadian federal election?
Which party will win a plurality of seats in the next Canadian federal election?
Will the Conservative Party of Canada win a parliamentary supermajority in next federal election?
12% chance
How many seats will the Liberal Party of Canada win in the next Canadian federal election?