Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
13
100
Ṁ520Ṁ230
2025
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Canada's parliament must have an election on or before 20 October 2025. The Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre currently poll above Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party, approaching 40% as of the time this question was written.
Will the Conservative Party win 40% of the vote, or more, in the next Canadian federal election?
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