Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
➕
Plus
27
Ṁ2354
2025
80%
chance

Canada's parliament must have an election on or before 20 October 2025. The Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre currently poll above Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party, approaching 40% as of the time this question was written.

Will the Conservative Party win 40% of the vote, or more, in the next Canadian federal election?

See also:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

You mean the popular vote? Not how many seats they win?

@Tumbles Correct!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules