Will the Conservative Party of Canada win a parliamentary supermajority in next federal election?
Basic
7
Ṁ1902025
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Canadian parliament is slated for a federal election on or before 20 October 2025.
There will be 348 electoral districts in the next election. A supermajority means 66%+1, which would be 230 seats for the next parliament.
338Canada currently projects the Pierre Poilievre's Conservative Party winning 221 seats in the House of Commons.
Will the Conservatives win a supermajority in Canada's House of Commons at the conclusion of the next federal election?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
80% chance
Will the Liberal Party of Canada be the official opposition after the next Canadian election?
74% chance
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
94% chance
(Canada) Will the Liberals poll within 10 points of the Conservatives before next Federal Election?
33% chance
Will Doug Ford and the Ontario PC Party win the next Provincial election?
63% chance
Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier)
66% chance
Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?
6% chance
Which Canadian political party will win the 2nd most seats in next federal election?
Will the NDP gain seats in the next federal election
13% chance
Will Kemi Badenoch become Prime Minister of the UK?
22% chance