Will the Conservative Party of Canada win a parliamentary supermajority in next federal election?
17
100Ṁ784Oct 21
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Canadian parliament is slated for a federal election on or before 20 October 2025.
There will be 348 electoral districts in the next election. A supermajority means 66%+1, which would be 230 seats for the next parliament.
338Canada currently projects the Pierre Poilievre's Conservative Party winning 221 seats in the House of Commons.
Will the Conservatives win a supermajority in Canada's House of Commons at the conclusion of the next federal election?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Liberal Party forms the next Canadian government
80% chance
Which party will win a plurality of seats in the next Canadian federal election?
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
7% chance
What will be the outcome of Canada's 2025 federal election?
How many seats will the Liberal Party of Canada win in the next Canadian federal election?
Outcome of next Canadian federal election
Will the popular vote winner in 2025's Canadian federal election win the most seats?
75% chance
How many federal electoral districts will be won by the Conservative party in Ontario?
Will the next federal Canadian election go to the liberals?
80% chance
What will be the results of the 2025 Canadian federal election?