How many seats will the Liberal Party of Canada win in the next Canadian federal election?
How many seats will the Liberal Party of Canada win in the next Canadian federal election?
29
1kṀ38k
resolved Apr 29
100%99.0%
125+
0.2%
0-24
0.2%
25-49
0.2%
50-74
0.2%
75-99
0.3%
100-124

This market will resolve to the range that includes the number of Parliament seats won by the Liberal Party of Canada in the next Canadian Federal Election.

Close date is a vague estimate. It will be adjusted in either direction depending on when the next election is called.

  • Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Range:

    • The affected category now includes outcomes from 100 to 124 seats.

    • The previous lower bound of 99 seats has been removed from this range.

Elections
Elections: World
Canada
Canadian Politics
Justin Trudeau
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1mo


@traders

Do you think Peter Njeim is doing a good job with his "Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?" question!

Did this market close too soon? Should we wait for validated results?

We want to know!

https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/what-will-peternjeims-resolution-ra?r=SGlsbGFyeUNsaW50b24

3mo
3mo

This is a bit of a weird market now lol -- if not obvious, this was created under the pretence of the Liberals probably getting wiped out. How things change!

3mo

99 is represented in two categories

3mo

@makeworld Thanks, I've edited "99-124" to "100-124"

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