Canada is holding a federal election on the 28th of April.

The Liberal Party under Mark Carney, who recently succeeded Justin Trudeau as Canadian Prime Minister, has shot up in the polls and is currently projected to win more seats than the Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre.

This question resolves based on which party won the most seats and whether their seat count is above or below 172 (enough to form a majority in the House of Commons). In the event of a tie, this question resolves to the relevant "tie" option (e.g. "Liberal-Conservative tie").

Note that this question does not resolve to who forms government - so in the unlikely event that the next government is a coalition of two parties, neither of which have the most seats alone, this question would nonetheless resolve to the party that has the most seats at the conclusion of the upcoming federal election, despite their not forming government.

Also note I have retained the ability to add answers in the other unlikely event a third party rises in the polls and warrants their own answers.