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MANIFOLD
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ146
2027
55%
chance

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Iran's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report. If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.


If Iran's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.

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sold Ṁ20 YES

@cash It's not on the list! Not all countries make it onto the index.

Resolve to N/A I would imagine.

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