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MANIFOLD
Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ27
2027
62%
chance

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Turkey's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report. If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.


If Turkey's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.

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