If Iran's regime falls in 2026, will it be a surprise?
11
Ṁ1kṀ655Dec 31
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
16% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?
3% chance
Leader of Iran at end of 2026?
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
55% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
16% chance
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4% chance
If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
16% chance
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
18% chance
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
16% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
18% chance