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MANIFOLD
Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026?
3
Ṁ1kṀ240
2027
53%
More Authoritarian
22%
No Change
25%
More Democratic

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving based on whether the United States score in 2026 goes up (more democratic), down (more authoritarian), or stays flat (no change) relative to its score in the previous year. If the official report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.

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