Will Manifold solve my puzzle? (Round 2)
137
6kṀ120k
resolved Jan 12
Resolved
YES
51

The solution to the puzzle is a sequence of between 4 and 20 letters (the standard 26 letters of the English alphabet, capitalization doesn't matter).

Each user gets one guess per calendar day. Let's say you're submitting an answer on January 5th, and you wanted to submit "XABDU" as your solution, you would write a comment: "1/5/26: XABDU". Please do not abuse this system; one guess per day!

I will check the market once per day (don't worry if I forget or skip a day, I'm human and will make up the hints the next day) at a random-ish time, starting on Christmas Eve. You will get a number of hints based on the following scale:

90-99%: 0 hints

80-89%: 0 hints

70-79%: 5 hints

60-69%: 10 hints

50-59%: 15 hints

40-49%: 20 hints

30-39%: 25 hints

20-29%: 30 hints

10-19%: 35 hints

0-9%: 40 hints

I think this puzzle will be slightly more challenging than the first round. On the other hand, you now have at least one puzzle to index off of (though this one will be different), and also have access to an MIT Puzzle Hunt alumnus who solved the first puzzle. You are more likely to need to collaborate than on the first puzzle, in my opinion. You have the 25 days of Christmas (is this a thing? idk?) to complete the puzzle, by January 17th, 2026 at 11:59pm.

If you guess correctly, I'll immediately resolve the market to YES. If you guess incorrectly, I'll try to like your comment to indicate it is wrong.

There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.

Hint text goes here:

Fix Mist Plaintiff Titer Ichthys Frieze Cobble Gold Sprout Mykonos Spit Frigate Disciple Varanasi Plight Rotary Mouse Glove Cognate Delhi Tipperary Sheikh Mixtape Lignite Tin Proof Solvent Droughts Morgan Guano Ikbal Tartessos Forage Lich Montezuma Glick Oceans Ursidae Tonne Gor Mithril Anais Goryeo Lox Phoneme Pitted Poor Sidereal Oryx Covenant Writ Josephus Volga Princeps Gog Toupee Marjoram Col Song Lelydorp Tlingit Koch Lvov Mongoose Trotsky Mitt Collagen Xylograph Demos Onager Ich Ordos Lock Steno Theology Timpani Pro Bulldozer Aconcagua Move Vista Niue Pyxides Levine Mir Gose Robber Tron Godmother Somerton Pontoon Fibula Nicaragua Lid Nostrum Lotus Trona Vitamix Protozoa Oslo Nova Solon Epigraph Albuterol Cod Karpov Moussaka Git Copse Motorola Post Riviera Tinnitus Gavin Quora Ocelot Moors Hob Gaborone Brouhaha Kettering Wicca Lil Uighur Kite Fistula Pox Zoophobe Mont Growth Limit Kalmykia Twix Ibn Latitude Potash Ombuds Row Aorta Piggy Kwajalein Cite Bitumen Erin Fiddle Fob Goethe Lozenge Negombo Plop Reno Epictetus Twitter Imbibe Anton Contort Oyo Chiapas Moppet Toblerone Rococo Vlog Cricket Khoekhoe Mock Polenta Boor Asics Zhukov Protocols Crown Zhuangzi Mica Inundate Chord Orc Bottle Huanuco Notebooks Bjalbo Triptych Moog Forceps Ounce Village Ipecac Recipe Tonto Rotoscope Marine Vim Chocolate Sieve Monywa Hilt Pica Aotearoa Poggers Fist Italica Sphinx Bronte Oolong Douala Kiribati Popcorn Grout Sumo Schooner Xhosa Nob Leviticus Griffith Scrotum Cocoa Corporal Shoo Lei Shalom Reebok Poll Costco Periphery Krasnodar Lot Gonzo Moonroof Lipid Ouroboros Slob Wok Iapetus Michigan Ill Corduroy Notch Oster Bulawayo Jog Spork Dodger Initial Pinprick Fin Espoo Oracle Nieve Poppy Hadibu Mon Borax Arthritis Midge Adelaide Comcast Blogroll Sendai Yore Jive Moorhen Hostess Millipede Lima Whitehall Fort Longan Pharaoh Croup Solar Dzongkha Ulyanovsk Bitter Kips Semibreve Lost

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YAY!

what is LIPITENLIL?

@Eliza

found that

filled a Ṁ2,500 NO at 49% order

@Eliza Congrats to everyone who got Yes shares at 49% from me, I was trying to re-up my Yes order at 49% and accidentally placed a No order instead.

@Eliza I lost a lot of mana but I’m very happy you solved it—and to have been on the right track!

Congratulations to @Eliza !!

The correct answer was indeed LIPITENLIL

This was the full visual hint text (encoded with i/o words for binary with a bunch of red herrings):
SKLISIN1870MC5YRSONOFBURSUEN

Expected that the puzzle would be almost impossible if SKLISIN wasn't completed, should be pretty possible if you managed to get through SKLISIN1870MC, but I guess all it took was SKLISIN18 to get the general idea! Next month will be... ummm... harder haha.

@bens Alright so you snuck in Lipid and Lil. That's why I was picking LIPIT-ENLIL out of all the potential options first. Then I was editing it because I saw Cod was in there which was very close to Code of Lipit-Ishtar as well.

bought Ṁ3,000 YES

2026-01-11: LIPITENLIL

@Eliza wait lol you got the answer correct when I looked, but you edited it hahaha... BAD!

@bens still counts, I guess.

bought Ṁ0 YES

@bens LMAO

@bens when I resolved the puzzle, it showed up as "LIPITENLIL" on my screen.

Well I was guessing that in 3 hours anyway if no one else had.

12/1/26 URNINURTA

Almost done constructing the Round 3 puzzle. You'll probably be able to tell as soon as the first day's hint hits, but... it's ummm, gonna be fun. Hope y'all are excited for a challenge.

Everyone can pre-trade on whether you think it'll be hard or easy, here!

/Eliza/if-ben-makes-a-third-puzzle-before

1/11:

Blogroll Sendai Yore Jive Moorhen Hostess Millipede Lima Whitehall Fort Longan Pharaoh Croup Solar Dzongkha Ulyanovsk Bitter Kips Semibreve Lost

01/11 SK HYNIX

11/1/26 ISHBIERRA

Thanks I changed @MachiNi

@Jack1 I tried it just below. Not too late to change yours?

@Jack1 I think it might be spelled ISHBIERRA, from the sources I was looking at.

@Eliza I think that’s how I did

@Jack1 you have ISHBIERRA, there should be another I in there.

@Jack1 I was definitely reading it wrong.

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