Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold?
Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold?
18
1kṀ9792101
5%
chance
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6H
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Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty:
If multiple people are involved in the final proof (or disproof etc.) of the Riemann hypothesis, only one of them needs to claim the bounty.
Resolves NO if the bounty is canceled, the bounty is claimed by someone else (e.g., someone who didn't write the proof posts it in the comments and gets the bounty), or the bounty is still unclaimed after the Riemann hypothesis has been solved for at least a year.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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