If Ben makes a third puzzle before 2027, will Manifold solve it?

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Dec 31

46%

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@bens has made two puzzles in the last couple months. If he makes a third similar puzzle before 2027, will Manifold solve it?

Resolves N/A if I don't think a puzzle meeting the criteria happens in time. I will post in the market and update the description when I notice the puzzle that will count for this purpose.

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boughtṀ250YES

@EvanDaniel people stop buying yes we have no chance

Also if it involves manipulating the percentage, no one will believe people who say "look it's impossible we should go 10% lower". In the last puzzle that just worked without too much effort.

All the random passers-by will want to hold Yes shares after two successes and they won't listen if someone says we're miscalibrated.