When will the first Starliner astronaut return to earth?
13
1kแน8183resolved Mar 18
100%95%
2025
0.2%
Aug 4th-Aug 18th, 2024
0.2%
Aug 19th-Sept 1st, 2024
0.6%
Sept 2nd - Sept 15th, 2024
0.4%
Sept 16th - Sept 30th, 2024
0.4%
October 2024
0.4%
November 2024
2%
December 2024
0.5%
2026, or after, or never
This resolves to the calendar day (UTC) that the first of Suni Williams or Butch Wilmore return to Earth alive.
Related questions:
https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-boeings-starliner-return-with
https://manifold.markets/GordanKnott/what-will-be-true-of-the-boeing-sta
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน779 | |
| 2 | แน296 | |
| 3 | แน31 | |
| 4 | แน16 | |
| 5 | แน5 |
People are also trading
Related questions
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
19% chance
Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?
35% chance
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
When will Starship complete an orbit?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
61% chance
When will Starship successfully land for the first time?
9/30/26
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?