When will the first Starliner astronaut return to earth?
Plus
13
Ṁ7574Jan 1
0.2%
Aug 4th-Aug 18th, 2024
0.2%
Aug 19th-Sept 1st, 2024
0.6%
Sept 2nd - Sept 15th, 2024
0.3%
Sept 16th - Sept 30th, 2024
0.4%
October 2024
0.4%
November 2024
2%
December 2024
95%
2025
0.5%
2026, or after, or never
This resolves to the calendar day (UTC) that the first of Suni Williams or Butch Wilmore return to Earth alive.
Related questions:
https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-boeings-starliner-return-with
https://manifold.markets/GordanKnott/what-will-be-true-of-the-boeing-sta
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship complete an orbit?
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?
29% chance
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
31% chance
When will Starship first deploy a commercial satellite to orbit?
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
61% chance
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?
By when will first Starship be reused?