
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
28
1kṀ7462027
65%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm open to arguments about whether or not it should be disclosed beforehand.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025?
2% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
60% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
83% chance
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
Will a paper fully created by AI be accepted into Nature by 2030?
62% chance
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028?
89% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
58% chance
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
87% chance