Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go below 10% before 2024 ends? | Manifold

Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go below 10% before 2024 ends?

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Jan 2

33%

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After the creation of this market, only.

The market in question:

The market must stay under 10% for over 75% of a time period of 12 hrs to prevent transient spikes from counting.

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i accidentally resolved this thinking it was about by 2024, when it is about by the end of 2024. Re-opening

predicts YES

@firstuserhere Should this market also reopen then?

@ScipioFabius thanks! I had totally missed it

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