How many companies will claim to own an AGI by 2040 given OpenAI claims to own an AGI by 2030?
2
212Ṁ202040
22%
1-5
31%
6-30
14%
30-60
14%
60-100
21%
100+
"AGI" as in general artificial intelligence.
"own an AGI" as in the company has access to the AGI's weights or their equivalent.
Resolves N/A if OpenAI does not claim to have an AGI by 2030.
###
Seeing I messed up the ranges in the choices:
1-5 range is inclusive. Includes both 1 and 5.
6-30 range includes numbers 6 to 29 only. Does not include 30.
30-60 range includes numbers 30 to 59 only. Does not include 60.
60-100 range includes numbers 60 to 99. Does not include 100.
100+ includes numbers 100 to ∞
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