According to OpenAI's charter from 2018:

"OpenAI’s mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence (AGI)—by which we mean highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work—benefits all of humanity. We will attempt to directly build safe and beneficial AGI, but will also consider our mission fulfilled if our work aids others to achieve this outcome."

This question resolves YES if strong evidence emerges that OpenAI has abandoned the goal of building AGI before 2030.

The abandonment must be in-general; so OpenAI would no longer be planning to build AGI internally, nor have a mission to aid "others to achieve this outcome," as the current charter puts it.

Any one piece of evidence may not be conclusive, but evidence that would tend to support resolving to YES may include, (a) a pattern of public statements by OpenAI's leadership to this effect, (b) a revised charter that does not include reference to AGI, and (c) credible news reporting that OpenAI's leadership has privately abandoned AGI as a goal.

See also: