Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?
14
70
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2025
13%
chance

Expansion of the title as follows. Not exhaustive.

  1. The paper or report must be submitted on arxiv

  2. Must have one or more turning award winners (counting as on the date of this question creation)

  3. The report can suggest or imply or straight up claim that an AI system is conscious. If it's "likely conscious" on the scale, then we will resolve this to yes.

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