If there exists a super-intelligent AI, would majority of AI researchers answer Yes to "Have we reached AGI?" ?
➕
Plus
23
Ṁ786
2031
63%
chance

Super-intelligent AI :

"Something along the lines of -> smarter than humans at most cognitive tasks, very very good at some key tasks, and can afford to be indifferent too anything it can't do." (@Duncn's comment)

"AI that is better than majority of the humans at most economically valuable tasks, but not necessarily better than the best humans in all of those tasks."

(I created this market to gauge opinion for @Primer's question)

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

How does this resolve?

@ShadowyZephyr Resolves whenever there is such a survey and such a superintelligent AI, until then market trades according to what that survey will point to

predicts YES

@firstuserhere Who determines if an AI is superintelligent?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules