Aliens = alien life that originates from or lives on another planet. MUST HAVE PROOF.
AGI = Artificial General Intelligence, non-living intelligence created by us that equals or surpasses human intelligence in every respect. (Since human intelligence is not always at the same level, we're talking roughly equal here.)
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 of NO
I'm betting NO on this one because it specifically states "lives on another planet" (i.e. within this Universe.) I expect that the resolver will hold to this exact interpretation if the truth about how the non-human intelligence exists is more complicated.
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2032?
38% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
34% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before strong AGI is achieved?
38% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
55% chance
Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
65% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
48% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
42% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
30% chance
Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?
60% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
47% chance