For source, I will use The Numbers 2024 (domestic) weekend tracker: https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/domestic/all-movies/weekend/released-in-2024
For each weekend, the page lists a "No. 1 Movie". This market resolves YES if there is any movie in 2024 listed for 4 different weekends on this page (however they calculate it).
In 2023, three movies were #1 for 4+ weekends at the box office:
Avatar: The Way of Water was #1 for 5 different weekends.
Barbie & Super Mario Bros were #1 for 4 different weekends.
In 2024, as of February 16th, Mean Girls has been #1 for 3 different weekends.
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@polymathematic good catch! after it was clear deadpool would fall behind alien's OW, tbh i totally forgot that it might bounce back in the quiet part of late august. (and post deadpool i had been guessing that no film might make it in the more crowded fall)
I try to be precise with my questions, but I realize the question & description are a bit ambiguous about an edge case here. My apologies!
The question refers to "2024 movie", which often implies "movie released in 2024".
The description is unambiguous: what matters is if there is any movie that has 4 different weekends at #1 DURING 2024. I.e. this would exclude a December 2024 release that has some of its #1 weekends in January 2025.
The description is very clear (& was my intent), so I'll stick with that. I'm rewording the title to exactly match it: "Will any movie be #1 at the box office for at least 4 different weekends within 2024?" (No longer "2024 movie", but "within 2024").
If there was any confusion caused by this, please LMK, and I'll try to fix that. But I hope the description was clear enough the whole time.