Resolution criteria

• Each answer resolves YES if that film’s domestic (US+Canada) 3‑day opening weekend gross (Fri–Sun) ranks among the 10 largest for films whose initial domestic theatrical release date falls in calendar year 2026. Source of record: the “Opening” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film; if BOM is unavailable or clearly erroneous, use The Numbers as backup. Ties for 10th all resolve YES. We use unadjusted USD. Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO. “Other” resolves YES if any unlisted film finishes in the top 10; otherwise NO. (boxofficemojo.com, the-numbers.com)

• Opening weekends that follow Wednesday/Thursday starts are still measured Fri–Sun; Thursday previews folded into Friday are fine. Limited-then-wide platforming is rare for these titles; we will still use the BOM “Opening” (first Fri–Sun of release). If a film opens on Dec 31, 2026, we still count its first Fri–Sun weekend even if that spans into Jan 2027. (en.wikipedia.org)

Background

• Avengers: Doomsday — currently dated Dec 18, 2026 after Disney’s schedule shift. Russo brothers directing. (au.variety.com)

• Super Mario movie sequel — Nintendo/Illumination set Apr 3, 2026 for the next Mario animated film; title TBA (often rumored as “Super Mario World”). (nintendo.co.jp, theverge.com)

• Spider-Man: Brand New Day — Sony/Marvel set for Jul 31, 2026. (en.wikipedia.org, boxofficemojo.com)

• Toy Story 5 — Disney/Pixar dated Jun 19, 2026. (ew.com, en.wikipedia.org)

• Minions 3 — Illumination/Universal dated Jul 1, 2026 (Wed open; FSS still Fri–Sun). (thewrap.com, boxofficemojo.com)

• The Odyssey — Universal/Syncopy’s Christopher Nolan epic dated Jul 17, 2026. (screendaily.com)

• The Mandalorian & Grogu — Lucasfilm/Disney set May 22, 2026. (starwars.com, cnbc.com)

• Dune: Part Three (adapts “Messiah”) — WB/Legendary dated Dec 18, 2026. (ew.com, en.wikipedia.org)

• The Devil Wears Prada 2 — 20th Century Studios dated May 1, 2026 (production underway). (thewrap.com, en.wikipedia.org)

• Michael (Michael Jackson biopic) — Lionsgate dated Apr 24, 2026. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

• Several of these are high-move risks; dates and even titles can shift (e.g., Avengers and Dune currently share Dec 18, 2026). If any option moves out of 2026, it resolves NO. (au.variety.com)

• Wednesday/holiday openings (e.g., Minions 3; May and December tentpoles) can depress the 3‑day FSS vs. widely reported 4‑/5‑day totals—trade accordingly. (thewrap.com, en.wikipedia.org)

• “Domestic” in sources includes US+Canada; strictly “US‑only” figures aren’t published consistently. We will use BOM’s domestic definition. (en.wikipedia.org)