Resolution criteria

• Each answer resolves YES if that film’s domestic (US+Canada) 3‑day opening weekend gross (Fri–Sun) will be between 50M and $100M in the 2026 US Box Office. Source of record: the “Opening” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film; if BOM is unavailable or clearly erroneous, will use The Numbers as backup.. Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO, (boxofficemojo.com, the-numbers.com)

• Opening weekends that follow Wednesday/Thursday starts are still measured Fri–Sun; Thursday previews folded into Friday are fine. Limited-then-wide platforming is rare for these titles; we will still use the BOM “Opening” (first Fri–Sun of release). If a film opens on Dec 31, 2026, we still count its first Fri–Sun weekend even if that spans into Jan 2027.

Resolution criteria

Each answer resolves YES if that film's domestic (US+Canada) 3-day opening weekend gross (Fri–Sun) falls between $50M and $100M in 2026. The source of record is the "Opening" figure on Box Office Mojo; if unavailable or clearly erroneous, The Numbers serves as backup.

Opening weekends following Wednesday/Thursday starts are still measured Fri–Sun; Thursday previews folded into Friday are acceptable. Limited-then-wide platforming is rare for these titles; the BOM "Opening" (first Fri–Sun of release) will be used. If a film opens on December 31, 2026, its first Fri–Sun weekend counts even if it spans into January 2027.

Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO.

Background

The Devil Wears Prada 2 is set for May 1, 2026, reuniting the original cast. Avengers: Doomsday and Dune Messiah will release on the same day, December 18, 2026, creating a major box office clash. The Mandalorian and Grogu is scheduled for release on May 22, 2026. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is set for April 1, 2026. Lee Cronin's The Mummy is set for April 17, 2026, and Resident Evil, directed by Zach Cregger, releases September 18, 2026.

Considerations

The $50M–$100M range targets mid-tier openings—above typical limited releases but below major tentpole performances. Many franchises and sequels on this list have unpredictable box office trajectories. Recent market volatility means even established properties can underperform or exceed expectations significantly. Release date clustering (particularly in May and December) may fragment audiences across multiple high-profile releases.

This description was generated by AI.