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MANIFOLD
Which movie will rank second at the U.S. box office during the weekend of October 2–4, 2026?
1
Ṁ1kṀ3.2k
Oct 5
6%
Avengers Endgame Encore
20%
Digger
23%
Heart of the Beast
6%
Primetime
45%
Resident Evil

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the option representing the movie that ranks second at the U.S. domestic box office for the weekend of October 2–4, 2026.

  • Source of Truth: Resolution will be based on the official 3-day weekend gross figures (Friday, October 2 through Sunday, October 4, 2026) published by The Numbers Weekend Chart or Box Office Mojo.

  • Scope: Only U.S. / North American domestic box office figures will be considered.

  • Missing Options: Because the answer options are fixed and the ability to add answers is disabled, if a movie not listed in the options (such as Verity) ranks second in the official weekend standings, this market will resolve as N/A.

  • Tie-breaker: If there is a tie for the second position, the movie with the higher theater count as reported by the primary source will resolve as YES.

Background

The weekend of October 2–4, 2026, features a highly competitive domestic box office slate. Key competitors in play include:

  • Digger (Warner Bros. / Legendary): Alejandro G. Iñárritu's satirical black comedy starring Tom Cruise, making its theatrical debut.

  • Verity (Amazon MGM Studios): A psychological thriller starring Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson. Verity is highly tracked to lead the box office but is not on the user-provided answers list. If it finishes second, the market will resolve N/A.

  • Avengers Endgame: Encore (Disney): The major re-release of the Marvel blockbuster.

  • Heart of the Beast (Paramount): A survival thriller directed by David Ayer and starring Brad Pitt, which entered its second weekend of release.

  • Resident Evil (Sony / Columbia): The horror reboot directed by Zach Cregger.

  • Primetime (A24): A drama holdover from the previous weekend.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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