Resolution: Resolves to the number of movies with release date in 2026 which gross >$1 billion worldwide in their original theatrical run.

Details:

• The primary resolution source will be BoxOfficeMojo (although in extreme cases—e.g., BOM is missing some well-documented Chinese release—I can use other sources to supplement).

• This is the total WW gross for the movie, not the calendar year gross (e.g., "Avatar: Fire and Ash" would have counted as a billion dollar grosser for 2025 despite it not passing that mark until January 2026).

• There's no perfect definition of "original theatrical run". I'll aim to go by a consensus of credible reporting, and I may resolve early if it's clear that the last movies released in 2026 have no plausible shot of reaching $1B WW.

Context:

In 2019, there were 9 billion dollar grossers. Post-pandemic, this threshold has become much more elusive. In 2023 & 2024, we had just 2 per year, and in 2025, it jumped to 4.

However, Hollywood is counting on 2026 to be a huge year for the industry, with new entries in many of its premiere franchises. Here are some non-comprehensive suggestions of some potential billion dollar grossers:

• Spider-Man: Brand New Day

• The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

• Toy Story 5

• Avengers Doomsday

• Moana

• Minions 3

• The Odyssey

• The Mandalorian and Grogu

• Dune: Part Three

• Michael