• Update 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on whether one side achieves most of its strategic goals, with a huge misalignment in goal achievement required for a "one side wins" resolution.

Russia's strategic goals:

• Making Ukraine dependent on Russia (via annexation or political influence).

• Huge territorial gains (the creator will almost certainly resolve to a Russian win if 50% of Ukraine is annexed).

• Recognition of Crimea as Russian.

Ukraine's strategic goals:

• Getting back pre-2022 territory.

• Staying independent.

• (Getting back pre-2014 territory).

Some territorial gains for Russia would not necessarily mean a Russian victory if Ukraine remains independent. Conversely, any territorial concessions by Ukraine will make a Ukrainian victory very unlikely.

In ambiguous cases, the creator will make a judgement call after a period of discussion with traders.