MANIFOLD
Will the war in Ukraine end before the Iranian war?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ125
2028
16%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the Ukraine-Russia war ends before the US-Israeli war with Iran ends. This market resolves NO if the Iran war ends first or if both wars end on the same date.

Resolution is based on a formal ceasefire agreement (Lasting at least 2 weeks without branching), a peace treaty, or an official declaration by the Ukrainian and Russian governments that active hostilities have ceased. The same applies to the Israeli/US - Iranian governments.

The ending date for this market will be the date that either war ends.

Market context
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