Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Fall, followed by Summer and Winter are most likely. See the market for live updates (15 traders, as of Jul 25, 2026).

Which season will the Ukraine war end?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ340Ṁ207

2033

ALL

22%

Winter

19%

Spring

29%

Summer

30%

Fall

Any year, of course.

Market context

Wars

Ukraine-Russia war

Ukraine

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Spring is undervalued because May 9

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