
Who will win the war in Ukraine?
49
1.5kṀ41872077
11%
Ukraine
3%
Russia
85%
Russia partial win
0.9%
Ukraiane gains territory
0.3%
Russia Nukes Ukraine
0%
The world ends
A Russia win means Russia takes at least 50% of Ukraine, puts crippling (at least 3x GDP) of war debt on the country, or verifiably establishes the state as a puppet. A Russia Partial win means Russia takes at least 3% of Ukraine. A Ukraine win means less than 3% of Ukraine is taken by Russia. Ukraine takes land means that Ukraine ends the war with at least 3% more land than it started with (such as a partial Crimea retake). Russia nukes Ukraine is self explanitory. The world ends means at least 50% of the earth's population dies from nuclear fallout.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Will Russia nuking Ukraine resolve when the war ends? and how would this resolve if more than one of these are true, since you have to pick one answer?
Related questions
Related questions
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
38% chance
Who will win the Russia-Ukraine War?
If Ukraine holds an election in 2025, who will win?
Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
7% chance
How will the war in Ukraine end?
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
82% chance
will Russia win the war in Ukraine
44% chance
If Ukraine holds an election while the Russian invasion of Ukraine is ongoing, who will win?
Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
79% chance
Will Russia win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
54% chance