Who will win the war in Ukraine?
➕
Plus
46
Ṁ2895
2077
28%
Ukraine
5%
Russia
64%
Russia partial win
3%
Ukraiane gains territory
0.4%
Russia Nukes Ukraine
0%
The world ends

A Russia win means Russia takes at least 50% of Ukraine,  puts crippling (at least 3x GDP) of war debt on the country, or verifiably establishes the state as a puppet.  A Russia Partial win means Russia takes at least 3% of Ukraine.  A Ukraine win means less than 3% of Ukraine is taken by Russia.  Ukraine takes land means that Ukraine ends the war with at least 3% more land than it started with (such as a partial Crimea retake).  Russia nukes Ukraine is self explanitory.  The world ends means at least 50% of the earth's population dies from nuclear fallout.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

A Russia Partial win means Russia takes at least 3% of Ukraine.

Does this mean that if Ukraine won't retake Donbas (which was taken long before the 2022 invasion), then Russia took a partial win?

Will Russia nuking Ukraine resolve when the war ends? and how would this resolve if more than one of these are true, since you have to pick one answer?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules