when will the Ukraine war stop?
Basic
19
Ṁ18282028
2027
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves after it is generally agreed upon, that the Ukraine war has reached a permanent ceasefire or if there has been no ongoing military action for at least 6 month even if it is not clear that the war is over.
There does not need to be a peace agreement.
will resolve to max if the war did not stop by 2028.
right now the expected value is 2023.9 so that equals to day 320 of 2023.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will war on Ukraine 🇺🇦 will end?
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will the Ukraine war end by 2025?
5% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
52% chance
Will the war in Ukraine be officially over by december 2025 ?
46% chance
Which season will the Ukraine war end?
How will the war in Ukraine end?
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
70% chance
When will the Ukraine war enter a state of "frozen conflict” or the ceasefire agreement is signed?