when will the Ukraine war stop?
21
1kαΉ€1928
2028
2026
expected

This market resolves after it is generally agreed upon, that the Ukraine war has reached a permanent ceasefire or if there has been no ongoing military action for at least 6 month even if it is not clear that the war is over.

There does not need to be a peace agreement.

will resolve to max if the war did not stop by 2028.

right now the expected value is 2023.9 so that equals to day 320 of 2023.

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It's Russians invasion, not the "Ukraine war". Russia invaded a sovereign nation and terrorized its civilians with bombings, rape, torture.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/feb/26/world-russia-ukraine-bucha-izium-atrocities

Arbitrage opportunity

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