Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028? | Manifold

Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?

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Biden has claimed that, in his view, the Equal Rights Amendment has already been ratified as the 28th Amendment:

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/01/17/politics/joe-biden-equal-right-amendment

But the Archivist previously rejected this argument:

https://www.archives.gov/press/press-releases/2025/nr25-004

Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what will not count as the Supreme Court "deciding the status" of the Equal Rights Amendment for the purposes of this market:
- Denying a petition for a writ of certiorari.

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Would denying a petition for a writ of certiorari count?

@noaht2 No, I wouldn't count that.

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