Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ2.1k2027
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
47% chance
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?
93% chance
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
84% chance
No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?
84% chance
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
40% chance
Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?
12% chance
As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]