On December 9, the Trump administration Department of Justice announced that it will no longer consider disparate impact to be a violation of Title VI of the Civil Rights of 1964. This market asks whether, by the end of 2026, SCOTUS will hear a case challenging this decision.

I am not a lawyer, nor do I claim any particular knowledge on this subject. Corrections and clarifications from those with more expertise are welcome in the comments, and I'll do my best to incorporate any insights in ways that remain fair to existing position holders in this market.