Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
Basic
21
Ṁ27672025
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the AfD party gets the most seats compared to any party after the 2025 national election.
Resolves NO if there is any other party that gets more seats than the AfD. CDU/CSU will be counted as one party.
Edit: This market will apply to the expected earlier election in 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@TimonSchneider Thanks for the quick clarification! And for the market, hope it gains more traction.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
65% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
34% chance
Will the AfD still exist by the year 2030?
74% chance
Will AfD (Alternative für Deutschland) become the leader of polls in Germany in 2024?
4% chance
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
81% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
42% chance
Will the right-wing party AfD participate in a state-level government in Germany for the first time in 2024?
4% chance
In the 2025 German federal election, what percentage of the popular vote will AfD receive?
Will die Linke win any seats in the next German federal election?
27% chance
Which of these parties will get seats in the German Bundestag after the next federal election?