Will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in 2023, in Germany?
44%
chance
Dec 31, 2023
M$13 bet
#politics #world #technology #energy Jun 16, 6:08pm: Resolves yes if there is a plant operating at any point .
Amnonian
Amnonian bought M$3 of NO
If there's one operating some (but not all) of 2023, how will this resolve? (For example, if one operates jan-mar, and then closes?) Some arbitrage opportunity with these two markets: https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-a-major-nuclear-power-plant-in https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-all-nuclear-power-plants-in-ge
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