After april, will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in Germany, in 2023? | Manifold Markets

closes Dec 31

Energy Crisis Energy Economics

After april, will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in Germany, in 2023?

30%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes if there is a plant delivering electricity at any point, after april, during that year.

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kottsiekbought Ṁ53 of NO

This market underestimates the ideological commitment of the Green Party Base. The probability of nuclear continuing equals the probability of the current government dissolving.

@kottsiek On the other hand, there has been an extension only recently.

"Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Monday ordered Germany's three remaining nuclear plants to remain in operation until April to fend off a possible energy crunch.

The chancellor has asked the Economy, Environment and Finance Ministries to create the legal basis for the plants to remain open.

"
Germany extends lifetime of all 3 remaining nuclear plants | News | DW | 17.10.2022

So will there be a plant operating after April?

Manifold in the WildBot

After april, will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in Germany, in 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

@ManifoldDream Thank you.

kottsiek filled limit order Ṁ76/Ṁ76 NO at 30%

Allan Lacy bought Ṁ10 YES from 33% to 34%

Brian Wyant bought Ṁ10 YES from 32% to 33%

Dominik bought Ṁ10 NO at 32%

Imuli bought Ṁ20 NO from 33% to 32%

Max Payne bought Ṁ50 NO from 36% to 33%

copacetic bought Ṁ100 NO from 40% to 36%

Coafos sold Ṁ11 YES at 40%

Imuli bought Ṁ25 NO from 41% to 40%

TexanElite bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 41%

copacetic bought Ṁ80 NO at 40%

Max Payne bought Ṁ100 NO at 40%

bobzieh bought Ṁ50 NO at 40%

copacetic bought Ṁ10 NO at 40%

mzal bought Ṁ20 NO at 40%

Max Payne bought Ṁ100 NO from 42% to 40%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ9 YES at 42% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

Max Payne bought Ṁ100 NO from 46% to 40%

copacetic bought Ṁ10 NO from 47% to 46%

kottsiek bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 47%

PA bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 48%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 47% (cancelled)

Iason bought Ṁ50 NO from 51% to 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 51% (cancelled)

kottsiek bought Ṁ53 NO from 57% to 50%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 YES at 57% (cancelled)

kottsiek bought Ṁ50 NO from 63% to 56%

kottsiek bought Ṁ20 NO from 66% to 63%

bobzieh bought Ṁ20 NO from 68% to 66%

nebelkugel bought Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 68%

cos sold Ṁ13 NO from 69% to 70%

jozef isreal bought Ṁ10 YES from 68% to 69%

bobzieh bought Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 68%

Coafos bought Ṁ20 YES at 70%

Lauri Elias bought Ṁ10 YES from 69% to 70%

Predictor 🔥 bought Ṁ10 YES from 68% to 69%

Jens Gustafsson bought Ṁ95 YES from 61% to 68%

TANSTAAFL bought Ṁ10 NO from 63% to 61%

Gavriel filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ225 NO at 70%

Gavriel filled limit order Ṁ300/Ṁ300 YES at 40%

cos created limit order for Ṁ46 YES at 47% (cancelled)

cos filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ15 NO at 66%

cos created limit order for Ṁ23 YES at 52% (cancelled)

cos created limit order for Ṁ28 NO at 71% (cancelled)

António Farinha bought Ṁ10 NO from 66% to 63%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 YES at 66% (cancelled)

bobzieh bought Ṁ50 NO from 79% to 64%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 YES at 79%

Zardoru bought Ṁ10 YES from 77% to 79%