Will a new nuclear power plant be operational in Sweden by 2035?
Will a new nuclear power plant be operational in Sweden by 2035?
27
1kṀ1116
2036
51%
chance

Resolves YES if by the end of 2035, at least one new nuclear power plant is operational (meaning supplying power) in Sweden. Otherwise NO.

Background

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-14/sweden-s-incoming-cabinet-says-will-build-new-nuclear-reactors

Sweden’s incoming government will ask state-run utility Vattenfall AB to add nuclear power stations as the economy becomes increasingly electrified. 

“New reactors will be built in Sweden,” Ebba Busch, whose Christian Democrat party belongs to an alliance that won the most seats in last month’s general election, said at a news conference Friday. The right-wing bloc is slated to become the Nordic nation’s government in a parliamentary vote next week.

Vattenfall decommissioned two units at its Ringhals plant in 2019 and 2020. There were fierce debates through the election campaign as the Moderates accused the government of intervening in the utility’s decision. The government maintained it was a commercial decision by Vattenfall.

The company has been preparing for a nuclear revival for some time. The first additions could be a new breed of small modular reactors, known as SMRs, which are about a quarter in size compared with the current units.

In June, just after the government warned that Sweden was facing an acute power crisis, Vattenfall said it would start an 18-month study into the technology. The first could come online in the early 2030s, the firm said.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
bought Ṁ30 YES1y

Does this include fusion?

1y

Any size/model?

Will a new nuclear power plant be operational in Sweden by 2035?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

2y

This truly is a beautiful, illustration,

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules