Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023?
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10004/german-nuclear-power/ Close date updated to 2023-05-31 11:59 pm
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mndrix avatar
Michael Hendricks
bought Ṁ100 of NO

The German parliament approved delaying the shutdown of nuclear plants until April 15, 2023[1]. The plants will run out of fuel around that time, so extending their life beyond April seems untenable.

1: https://www.dw.com/en/german-parliament-approves-nuclear-plants-life-extension/a-63721032

Sjlver avatar
sold Ṁ88 of NO

@mndrix I mostly agree... I'm just puzzled because that information has been available for a while, and Metaculus hasn't moved much.

Daconomist avatar
is predicting YES at 50%

@Chocobo I still think there is a chance that the energy situation will deteriorate sufficiently for the government to consider another extension.

mr22222222 avatar
bought Ṁ10 of YES

Even Greta is saying leave the plants open…

Chocobo avatar
bought Ṁ150 of NO


Two of the three remaining German nuclear power plants are to be in reserve to supply electricity until next spring.

"New fuel assemblies will not be loaded and mid-April 2023 is also the end for the reserve"

ZhaoNan avatar
Zhao Nan
bought Ṁ10 of NO
Also see this market: https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-all-nuclear-power-plants-in-ge