Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023?

sold Ṁ88 of NO

@mndrix I mostly agree... I'm just puzzled because that information has been available for a while, and Metaculus hasn't moved much.

"The legal basis will be created to allow the operation of the nuclear power plants Isar 2, Neckarwestheim 2 and Emsland beyond December 31, 2022, until April 15, 2023," Scholz said in a statement. (Deutsche Welle)

bought Ṁ80 of NO

Daconom

is predicting YES at 50%

@Chocobo I still think there is a chance that the energy situation will deteriorate sufficiently for the government to consider another extension.

mr22

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Even Greta is saying leave the plants open…

Germany will keep two of its remaining three nuclear power plants running until at least April, Germany's Economy Minister Robert Habeck said on Tuesday.

sold Ṁ34 of NO

https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/stresstest-akw-habeck-101.html

bought Ṁ150 of NO

Two of the three remaining German nuclear power plants are to be in reserve to supply electricity until next spring.

"New fuel assemblies will not be loaded and mid-April 2023 is also the end for the reserve"

Zhao Nan

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Also see this market: https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-all-nuclear-power-plants-in-ge

sold Ṁ11 YES from 24% to 23%

bought Ṁ19 YES from 22% to 24%

smartrevolution

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Imuli

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amoebus

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Eugen Grue

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Alex Wilson

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Bets By Anon

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filled limit order Ṁ31/Ṁ100 YES at 21% (cancelled)

Henri Thunberg

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RJ Perez

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filled limit order Ṁ63/Ṁ100 NO at 23% (cancelled)

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Niklas Wiklander

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Nils

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Imuli

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created limit order for Ṁ300 NO at 39%

filled limit order Ṁ35/Ṁ100 YES at 18% (cancelled)

mr22

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Svilen Todorov

bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

created limit order for Ṁ300 NO at 49% (cancelled)

sold Ṁ88 NO from 19% to 21%

Zhao Nan

sold Ṁ10 NO at 19%

BTE

sold Ṁ11 YES from 20% to 19%

Jake From Hackmud

bought Ṁ10 YES from 19% to 20%

created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 10%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

sold Ṁ9 YES from 20% to 19%

filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ100 YES at 20% (cancelled)

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filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ50 NO at 21% (cancelled)

sold Ṁ102 YES from 30% to 21%

Galen

sold Ṁ8 YES from 31% to 30%

filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ50 NO at 31% (cancelled)

Daconom

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Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ20 YES at 15%

Morgan Jane

bought Ṁ10 NO at 33%

filled limit order Ṁ46/Ṁ100 NO at 33% (cancelled)

filled limit order Ṁ37/Ṁ100 NO at 35% (cancelled)

Henri Thunberg

bought Ṁ100 YES from 28% to 37%

Jacob

sold Ṁ70 NO from 26% to 28%

filled limit order Ṁ45/Ṁ100 YES at 26% (cancelled)

Michael Hendricks

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filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 YES at 45% (cancelled)

Michael Hendricks

bought Ṁ100 NO from 49% to 43%

Vialabo

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filled limit order Ṁ40/Ṁ40 YES at 35%

bought Ṁ40 YES from 45% to 48%

bought Ṁ10 NO at 45%

bought Ṁ10 NO from 46% to 45%