If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'? | Manifold

If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?

Basic

19

Ṁ500

2026

69%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Republican Party

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Check out this market to bet on what Trump will say in Year 1 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 60% order

Put a limit up order for Yes at 60% for who's interested

This market has conflict of interest written all over it

@Entropy how could I resolve that? I'm happy to cancel my limit order if that helps.

@TheWabiSabi Would improve if you take as much control away from yourself to influence the outcome of the poll, such as by already specifying the title, options (full text) and tags.

Related questions

What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?

Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

Will Trump "Be a dictator on day 1" if elected?

What will happen during Trump's second term?

Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

What will Trump do in his second term? (if he wins)

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

If Trump is elected president, will Manifold think he made a serious attempt to remain in charge after 4 years are up?

Related questions

What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?

Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?

Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

What will Trump do in his second term? (if he wins)

Will Trump "Be a dictator on day 1" if elected?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

What will happen during Trump's second term?

If Trump is elected president, will Manifold think he made a serious attempt to remain in charge after 4 years are up?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules