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MANIFOLD
If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?
35
Ṁ100Ṁ1.5k
resolved Jan 15
Resolved
YES

Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).

  • Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The poll that will determine resolution has been created and can be found at the linked market. Voting will take place after the deadline (January 6th, 2026).

Market context
Politics
US Politics
Trump
Republican Party
2024 US Presidential Election
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https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/trumps-first-year-in-office-was-a-c?r=VGhlV2FiaVNhYmk

Trump's first year in office was 'a complete shit show'?

Check out this market to bet on what Trump will say in Year 1 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 60% order

Put a limit up order for Yes at 60% for who's interested

This market has conflict of interest written all over it

@Entropy how could I resolve that? I'm happy to cancel my limit order if that helps.

@TheWabiSabi Would improve if you take as much control away from yourself to influence the outcome of the poll, such as by already specifying the title, options (full text) and tags.

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