MANIFOLD
Will Trump do a good job?
7
Ṁ240Ṁ193
2029
19%
Republican Trifecta
11%
Democratic Trifecta
43%
Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress
27%
Republican wins Presidency and not Congress

In this market, 'doing a good job' leads to Republicans winning more elections. This market resolves to the outcome that best matches the results of the 2028 Presidential Election and Congressional elections. If Donald J. Trump does not win the presidency in 2024, this market will resolve immediately to N/A. The choices are 'Democratic Trifecta', 'Republican Trifecta', 'Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress', and 'Republican wins Presidency and not Congress'.

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What happens if Congress is split?

@Gabrielle That's under not winning congress

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